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CITIC Securities: The growth rate of supply is expected to move down rapidly, and there is room for aluminum price increase. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, the growth rate of global electrolytic aluminum production is expected to be 3.6%/2.2%/1.7%/0.9% from 2024 to 2027, showing a rapid downward trend. At the same time, our calculation results show that the incentive price of overseas electrolytic aluminum projects may be as high as 3000 US dollars /24000 yuan. The current aluminum price is difficult to stimulate overseas capacity expansion. We are optimistic about the rising space of aluminum price and the allocation value of aluminum plate under the background of strong supply constraints. Maintain the aluminum plate "stronger than the market" rating.Meta stepped in to discourage OpenAI from turning into a profit-making enterprise, and Meta urged the Attorney General of California to stop OpenAI from turning into a profit-making enterprise. Meta said that allowing OpenAI to become a for-profit company will set a dangerous precedent, that is, allowing startups to enjoy the advantage of non-profit status before preparing for profit.According to the information released by the National Earthquake Center of the University of Chile, a 6.3-magnitude earthquake occurred in the Maule region of central Chile on the 13th. (Xinhua News Agency)

The construction of a new model of real estate development is expected to make positive progress. From December 11th to 12th, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing. The meeting emphasized "stabilizing the property market and stock market". Specific to the key tasks to be done next year, the meeting made it clear that "the real estate market will continue to exert efforts to stop falling and stabilize" and "promote the construction of a new model of real estate development". Experts interviewed generally believe that the Central Economic Work Conference will stabilize the property market and further clarify the policy direction of the real estate sector next year. In 2025, relevant policies to promote the stabilization of the real estate market will continue to exert their strength, and the construction of basic systems related to the new model of real estate development is expected to make positive progress. (Securities Daily)Foreign media: Satellite images show that Russia is packing up equipment at the Syrian air base. According to a report on the website of Lianhe Zaobao in Singapore on December 14, the satellite images of Maxar Technology Company in the United States show that Russia seems to be packing up military equipment at an air base in Syria. According to the satellite image taken on December 13th, at least two An -124 transport planes' noses were raised at the Hermimim Air Force Base in Latakia province, which is located on the Syrian coast. Maxar Technology said that the nose doors of two An -124 heavy transport planes parked on the apron have been opened, ready to load equipment and goods. A nearby Ka -52 helicopter gunship is being dismantled and may be ready for transportation, while the personnel of the S-400 Triumph air defense missile system are also preparing to leave from the previous air base deployment site. (Reference message)Yellen urged the incoming Trump administration not to take radical measures to interfere with the necessary banking supervision. According to Reuters's exclusive information, US Treasury Secretary Yellen urged the incoming Trump administration not to interfere with the proper supervision of the capital level, liquidity and risk-taking of American banks on the 13th local time, which is essential to ensure the health of the banking system. Reuters mentioned that Yellen has served as finance minister in Biden's government since January 2021. She said that the current regulatory system in the United States is not perfect, and it is reasonable to seek ways to reduce the burden. However, she also warned that in view of the history of financial crisis caused by bank failures, radical measures should not be taken to interfere with necessary supervision. "I don't want to say that what we have is absolutely sacred or untouchable. But I don't think it collapsed. We have a good system, "Yellen told Reuters. (World Wide Web)

American polls show that half of Americans lack confidence in Trump's ability to nominate qualified cabinet members. A recent poll by the Associated Press -NORC Public Affairs Research Center shows that half of Americans lack confidence in President-elect Trump's ability to nominate qualified people for the new cabinet or key administrative positions. According to the survey results, 55% of American respondents have "a little confidence" or "no confidence at all" in Trump's ability to select qualified candidates during his second term, and another 27% have "very confidence". The poll was conducted from December 5 to 9, and the respondents were 1251 American adults, with a margin of error of 3.7 percentage points. (CCTV)Antaike: The global nickel industry surplus is expected to narrow, and the nickel price may decline. The Antaike report shows that the nickel price will rise and fall in the first half of 2024, because the supporting cost below is still there. After the price reached a staged low in late July, the whole price showed a pattern of bottoming out and falling resistance, and the upward and downward momentum was not strong. Returning to the fundamentals itself, oversupply and the staged improvement of downstream consumption have limited room for price rise. On the whole, the price of nickel basically fluctuated within a narrow range this year. The highest nickel in Shanghai was 160,000, and the lowest was 119,000, mainly in the range of 120,000-140,000. Looking forward to the next year, it is expected that the upward and downward momentum of nickel price is not strong, and the main contradiction is still on the supply side. In 2025, it is expected that the price difference between products and inside and outside will further converge, and the price center of gravity will move down. It is expected that the nickel will be in the range of 14,500-18,500 US dollars/ton; The range of Shanghai nickel is 120,000-170,000 yuan/ton.Antaike: The global nickel industry surplus is expected to narrow, and the nickel price may decline. The Antaike report shows that the nickel price will rise and fall in the first half of 2024, because the supporting cost below is still there. After the price reached a staged low in late July, the whole price showed a pattern of bottoming out and falling resistance, and the upward and downward momentum was not strong. Returning to the fundamentals itself, oversupply and the staged improvement of downstream consumption have limited room for price rise. On the whole, the price of nickel basically fluctuated within a narrow range this year. The highest nickel in Shanghai was 160,000, and the lowest was 119,000, mainly in the range of 120,000-140,000. Looking forward to the next year, it is expected that the upward and downward momentum of nickel price is not strong, and the main contradiction is still on the supply side. In 2025, it is expected that the price difference between products and inside and outside will further converge, and the price center of gravity will move down. It is expected that the nickel will be in the range of 14,500-18,500 US dollars/ton; The range of Shanghai nickel is 120,000-170,000 yuan/ton.